
£0m
£100m
£200m
£300m
£400m
£500m
£600m
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue (excluding vehicle sales)
Operating profit
£(200)m
£(100)m
£0m
£100m
£200m
£300m
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Dividends
Share buybacks/equity raise
CEO’s statement
“This has been another
year of strong financial,
operational and strategic
progress for Auto Trader.”
STRATEGIC AND OPERATING REVIEW
With almost 10 years since IPO in March 2015 and
two years since our last investor day we thought
it worthwhile to look back at our performance
over this longer period. We believe many of the
contributing factors are still equally relevant to
our future. Historically our results statements
have focused solely on what has happened in the
previous financial year, which whilst important,
does not always highlight the key factors
shareholders might consider when thinking
about our longer-term prospects. We will look
to supplement the usual full year detail
with this forward-looking view each year.
Since Auto Trader’s IPO the business has
delivered consistent execution and
performance. During the first few years of being
a public company, revenue grew steadily whilst
much of the focus was on transitioning to a pure
digital business and changing the cost base from
a model that had remnants of our magazine
heritage. This transition yielded cost efficiencies
and stronger profit growth, which was largely
a one-time opportunity. Since then, our
performance has been characterised by higher
revenue growth, with a focus on our core
marketplace and product growth, coupled with
investments in our platform and adjacent
opportunities. These revenues have driven profit
growth that is only slightly lower than the period
during which margins expanded significantly.
Our profits have been consistently distributed
through a combination of dividends and share
buybacks, which is something we expect
to continue. During our history as a listed
business, £1.1bn of surplus cash has been
returned to shareholders (net of the equity raise
during COVID-19) and we have delivered total
shareholder returns of 225% versus 60% for the
FTSE 350 (excluding investment trusts). We don’t
always expect our performance to be linear, with
2021 being a good example, but we do expect the
drivers of our historic and future value creation
to remain reasonably consistent. These drivers
include: a growing automotive market; our
market leading position; our heritage of
innovation; a focused and consistent strategy;
and our purpose and culture.
Nathan Coe
CEO
1. A GROWING AUTOMOTIVE MARKET
Today, most of our economics are linked to the
number of used vehicle retailers who choose
to advertise on Auto Trader. Used vehicle supply
is determined by new vehicle sales (less
scrappage) in preceding years, meaning it
does not meaningfully change with economic
conditions and therefore our business does
not see significant cyclicality. When economic
conditions or consumer demand do change
it is used vehicle prices that adjust, not supply.
Over the past 20 years, the total size of the UK
car parc has gradually increased, growing on
average by just over 250,000 cars per year. The
COVID-19 pandemic broke this consistent trend, as
new car production fell to levels below even those
of the Financial Crisis in 2007-09. From time to time
there will be these anomalies, but over the long
term we expect the used car market to grow as
a result of population growth and stable trends
in car usage.
At times there have been concerns about a
material consolidation within our customer base,
although to date this has not materialised. We
do expect the biggest retailers to get bigger and
we have seen consolidation in our very largest
customers, but not at a level that materially
changes the overall market fragmentation. At the
time of our IPO, we had 13,452 retailers and today
we have 13,783, despite losing c.550 retailers when
we sold our business in the Republic of Ireland.
Finally, we expect the value of both new and
used cars to increase over the long term. During
a short window of time, used car prices will
adjust due to supply and demand movements,
but over longer time periods we expect used
car values to increase gradually due to GDP
growth, population growth, inflation, improved
functionality, longer useful lives and the move
towards more expensive electric vehicles. In
the period from 2011 to 2024, used car prices
have increased by an average of 4% per year.
These factors combine to provide an underlying
market that is resilient and likely to grow in both
volume and value over the long term.
Group revenue and operating profit
Cash returned to shareholders
Strategic report
Governance
Financial statements
03
Auto Trader Group plc
Annual Report and Financial Statements 2024