Auto Trader Retail Price Index | May 2021
Record consumer demand sees retail prices rocket in May
According to the latest results from the Auto Trader Retail Price Index, which is based on daily pricing analysis of circa 900,000 vehicles, the average price of a used car in May was £13,973; a year-on-year (YoY) and like-for-like increase of 8.1%. As well as the 14th consecutive month of price growth, it marks the third month the rate of growth has accelerated, increasing from the 7.1%, 7.0% and 6.6% recorded in April, March and February respectively.
The last two weeks have seen a particularly rapid increase, surging from an average growth of 7.3% YoY mid-way through the month, to 8.1% during the final week.
The growth has been driven by the growing imbalance of supply and demand levels in the market; whilst supply fell -18% on May 2019, consumer demand rocketed 36%. This was reflected in the increased traffic to the Auto Trader marketplace, which saw a record 73 million cross platform visits last month, which far surpasses the previous record of 69.3 million in March of this year. It’s an increase of 39% on the same period in 2019 and 6% on April.
May also saw a record amount of time consumers spent on Auto Trader, spending an average of 11.4 million hours researching their next car, which is up 34% on 2019, 6% on April and 7% on the previous record of 10.9 million hours recorded in March. This surge in activity resulted in an 81% growth in leads[i] being sent to retailers when compared with May 2019.
Average days to sell at lowest rate since September
Another testament to the underlying levels of demand in the market is the increased speed in which retailers are selling cars. Last month, it took an average of just 23 days for new stock to leave forecourts, which is 21% fewer than April (29), and 32% fewer than May 2019 (34). It marks the fastest speed of sale since September 2020 (23).
Retailer pricing strategies highlight market confidence
We are seeing fewer Retailers adjusting prices on fewer vehicles and on average, as many Retailers are putting prices up as down. Last month an average of 2,205 retailers made daily price adjustments: 111 fewer than in April, and 366 fewer than in May 2021. What’s more, an average of 12,038 vehicles were repriced every day, which is 12% fewer than in April, and 27% fewer than in 2019.
There’s been a notable acceleration in the number of retailers making positive price adjustments. In fact, of those retailers who made daily adjustments across their forecourts last month, 32% increased sticker prices, which is up on the 22% recorded in April, and the 15% in February.
As a result, during the middle of May, the direction of adjustments being made shifted positively, with retailers increasing their prices by an average of £31, and by the final week, by £41. In contrast, during the final two weeks of May 2019, retailers were dropping their prices by an average of -£325 and -£336 respectively.
Commenting on the results, Auto Trader’s director of data and insight, Richard Walker, said:
The significant acceleration in retail prices we’re seeing across the market is unprecedented and shows no signs of slowing. It is critical that retailers are reacting to the speed in which the market is moving, which means ensuring the whole forecourt is adjusted to market price, and not just new stock. On Auto Trader, we’re seeing a significant proportion of older advertised stock which is yet to be repriced to reflect the positive movement of the market, which is not only limiting potential margins, but also dragging down consumer-facing valuations which are based on all advertised vehicles on site.
Data & Insight DirectorCONNECT
ICE prices heat up, but cools for premium EVs
The impact of these supply and demand dynamics are also present at a granular level, with average prices for both used petrol and diesel cars accelerating month-on-month. The average price of a petrol increased from 5.8% YoY in April to 6.5% (£12,489) in May, whilst their diesel counterparts increased from an already significant 9.2% YoY in April to a very robust 10.2% (£14,557) last month.
Used volume[ii] electric vehicles (EV) recorded a similar trajectory, with the rate of growth, rising from 8.2% YoY in April, to 10.3% (£21,067), which marked the first acceleration in growth since December. It was a different picture for premium EVs[iii] however, which saw like-for-like prices contract even further, from -4.0% YoY in April, to -8.7% (£43,525); a result of very strong levels of supply (220.2% YoY) in the market outperforming an otherwise very robust level of consumer demand (191.7% YoY).
Sue Robinson, NFDA Chief Executive, added: “Demand for used cars is buoyant and this is mirrored by the upward price trajectory we have been seeing for a few months. Retailers remain optimistic as consumer confidence improves and the economy continues to recover."
About the Retail Price Index
The Auto Trader Retail Price Index is published monthly and provides an overview of the latest price and search data from our marketplace. Our team of data scientists monitor hundreds of thousands of vehicles each day, including 90,000 vehicle updates and an average of 19,000 vehicles added or removed from Auto Trader. Coupled with data from circa 450,000 trade car listings every day, as well as additional retailer forecourts and website data (OEM, fleet and leasing disposal prices and pricing data from over 3,000 car dealership websites and data from major auction houses across the UK), ensuring the Index is an accurate reflection of the live retail market.
As of March 2020, the methodology for the Auto Trader Retail Price Index was adapted based on re-segmentation of our data. We have regrouped car segments into more meaningful classifications of the different types of vehicles that consumers buy, from an even greater depth of data than before. As we now have a more detailed dataset, we have restated figures for prior periods to reflect the change in methodology.
About Auto Trader
Auto Trader Group plc is the UK and Ireland's largest digital automotive marketplace. Auto Trader sits at the heart of the UK's vehicle buying process and its primary activity is to help vehicle retailers compete effectively on the marketplace in order to sell more vehicles, faster. Auto Trader listed on the London Stock Exchange in March 2015 and is now a member of the FTSE 100 Index.
The marketplace brings together the largest and most engaged consumer audience. Auto Trader has over 90% consumer prompted brand awareness and attracts circa 57 million monthly cross platform visits each month, with over 80% of visits coming through mobile devices.
For more information, please visit https://plc.autotrader.co.uk/who-we-are/about-us/
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[i] Email, part exchange enquiry, finance enquiry, texts and chats.
[ii] Volume EV brands categorised as: Ford, Volkswagen, Vauxhall, Peugeot, Nissan, Citroen, Kia, Hyundai, MG, Renault, SEAT, SKODA, Honda, Toyota, Fiat, Suzuki, Mazda, Mitsubishi, Smart, Dacia, Jeep, Subaru
[iii] Premium EV brands categorised as: Audi, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Land Rover, Jaguar, Tesla, Volvo, MINI, DS AUTOMOBILES, Lexus, Abarth, Alfa Romeo
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